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Fact-check: “The new tax policy will increase the deficit by $2 trillion over 10 years.”
Verdict: Partly True (42% confidence)
The claim cannot be fully evaluated because 'the new tax policy' is not identified, but the most relevant matching legislation — H.R. 1 ('One Big Beautiful Bill Act') — was scored by CBO as increasing the primary deficit by approximately $2.4 trillion (House-passed version) or deficits by $2.8 trillion including macroeconomic effects over 2025–2034, figures directionally consistent with but numerically larger than $2 trillion. The CRFB estimated the same bill's 10-year deficit impact at $4.1 tr…
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