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Deaths from fentanyl overdoses have declined across the country when compared to the annual numbers recorded since 2021
Mostly True
Accuracy: Mostly True. Mostly True. CDC final nationwide data show synthetic-opioid deaths, a standard fentanyl proxy, fell in 2023 versus 2022 and dropped much further in 2024; 2024 is also well below 2021. But the claim says fentanyl specifically and “annual numbers recorded since 2021.” One supplied CDC study on 46 jurisdictions found illegally manufactured fentanyl deaths were stable from 2022 to 2023, not down nationally, so the strongest direct fentanyl-specific evidence is provisional while the strongest final annual evidence uses a broader synthetic-opioid category.
Verdict confidence: 86/100. Final national CDC annual data show synthetic-opioid deaths, a fentanyl-including proxy, declined in 2023 and sharply in 2024 versus 2022, with 2024 below 2021 [S2P1, S1P2, S1PF1]. Limitation: the claim is fentanyl-specific, and a 46-jurisdiction IMF study found 2022–2023 annual counts stable, not down nationally [S5P2]. Method: verdict-evidence-v1. Not a calibrated probability.