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The average wait to see a doctor in the UK has increased to nearly 18 months for some specialists
False
Accuracy: False. False. The best-matching NHS England data for England show median RTT waits of 13.4 weeks in Dec 2025 and 12.4 weeks in May 2026, with 92nd percentiles of 40.8 and 38.6 weeks—not anywhere near 18 months. Some specialty/provider combinations had much longer averages, but cited examples are around 35–36 weeks, and one 2022 media analysis found some trusts over 30 weeks, still far short of 18 months. The claim overstates both the level and the evidence scope.
Verdict confidence: 87/100. Authoritative RTT data for England put typical waits far below 18 months: median 13.4 and 12.4 weeks, with 92nd percentiles 40.8 and 38.6 weeks. Even supplied specialty/provider examples described as averages are around 35–36 weeks, not 18 months. Main limitation: evidence is England-focused and mixes pathway/treatment measures. [S1P2, S2P2, S6P4, S5PF1] Method: verdict-evidence-v1. Not a calibrated probability.