Fact-check: “Bonds perform better than stocks”
Verdict: False (92% confidence)
The long-run documented record consistently shows stocks outperforming bonds by wide margins. The NYU Stern Damodaran dataset (1928–2025) shows roughly 10% annually for U.S. stocks versus ~5% for bonds; the Dimson-Marsh-Staunton global dataset (1900–2024) shows 5.2% real annualized returns for world equities versus 1.7% for bonds across 21 markets; and in 71 rolling 30-year periods since 1926, real stock returns beat bonds in all but one near-tie. Bonds have outperformed stocks in specific shor…
This fact-check was conducted by SpinkillerAI, a non-partisan AI-powered accountability platform.
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