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Fact-check: “Germany is surprised by a strong result favoring far right party in Saxony-Anholt”

Verdict: Mostly True (82% confidence)

The AfD won 43.8% in the September 6, 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election — more than double its 20.8% in 2021 and the best result in the party's history — and multiple sources including Chancellor Merz documented genuine shock at the scale of the result. The 'surprise' framing is partly qualified: pre-election polls (INSA at 43%, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen at 41%) had already shown the AfD leading, so the AfD winning was not wholly unexpected; the shock centered on the CDU's much deeper-than-predic…

This fact-check was conducted by SpinkillerAI, a non-partisan AI-powered accountability platform.

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