Fact-check: “It's harder than ever to predict the weather”
Verdict: False (72% confidence)
The documented record runs directly against this claim. Weather forecasting skill has improved substantially over the historical record — shorter-range forecasts in particular are objectively more accurate today than in any prior era, driven by numerical weather prediction advances and, most recently, AI-based models. The claim's superlative framing ('harder than ever') is contradicted by the measured improvement in forecast skill across decades. What is true is that some specific forecast type…
This fact-check was conducted by SpinkillerAI, a non-partisan AI-powered accountability platform.
Related fact-checks
- The US national debt has doubled in the last 10 years — Mostly True
- Violent crime in the United States is at an all-time high — False
- The US spends more on its military than the next 10 countries combined — Misleading
- Undocumented immigrants commit more crimes than native-born citizens — False
- The United States has the highest healthcare costs in the world — Mostly True