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Fact-check: “The new tax policy will increase the deficit by $2 trillion over 10 years.”

Verdict: Partly True (62% confidence)

The claim lacks a named policy, but the most prominent recent major tax legislation — H.R. 1, the 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act' — was officially scored by CBO and JCT as increasing the primary deficit by $2.4 trillion over 2025–2034 (excluding macroeconomic and debt-service effects), with the dynamic estimate reaching $2.8 trillion and the Senate-passed version scored at $3.4 trillion relative to the January 2025 baseline. The '$2 trillion' figure is therefore an understatement of the most curre…

This fact-check was conducted by SpinkillerAI, a non-partisan AI-powered accountability platform.

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