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Fact-check: “The new tax policy will increase the deficit by $2 trillion over 10 years.”

Verdict: Misleading (62% confidence)

The claim's $2 trillion figure is directionally consistent with CBO's conventional estimate for the House-passed version of H.R. 1 (the 'One Big Beautiful Bill Act') — $2.4 trillion over 2025–2034 — but the figure is materially understated relative to CBO's estimates for the enacted law (Public Law 119–21), which CBO scored at $3.4 trillion in added deficits (excluding debt service) and $4.1 trillion including debt-service costs, both relative to CBO's January 2025 baseline. The claim also omit…

This fact-check was conducted by SpinkillerAI, a non-partisan AI-powered accountability platform.

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