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Fact-check: “Trade with Canada was unfavorable to the US”

Verdict: Misleading (72% confidence)

The US ran a goods trade deficit with Canada — $48.3 billion in 2025 per USTR, and roughly $63 billion in goods in 2024 — which in isolation supports a narrow reading of 'unfavorable.' But the US simultaneously ran a services trade surplus with Canada of $27–29 billion in 2025, making the combined goods-and-services deficit much smaller (around $20–36 billion depending on the year), and outside of energy imports the US has historically run a surplus with Canada on non-energy goods, meaning the…

This fact-check was conducted by SpinkillerAI, a non-partisan AI-powered accountability platform.

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