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Fact-check: “Trump said tariffs cut the trade deficit with China”
Verdict: Partly True (68% confidence)
The U.S. goods trade deficit with China did fall sharply — from $419 billion in 2018 (the year tariffs began) to about $203 billion in 2025, a 32% drop year-over-year per Census Bureau data cited by USTR. But Federal Reserve Board and Dallas Fed research documents that much of the reduction reflects trade diversion rather than genuine deficit reduction: U.S. imports shifted from China to Vietnam, Taiwan, Mexico, and other countries whose deficits rose to record highs, while intermediary nations…
This fact-check was conducted by SpinkillerAI, a non-partisan AI-powered accountability platform.
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