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Fact-check: “Trump said tariffs cut the trade deficit with China”

Verdict: Partly True (72% confidence)

The U.S. goods trade deficit with China did fall sharply — from $419.5 billion in 2018 to $202.1 billion in 2025, a drop of roughly 52%, and the lowest since 2004. That bilateral decline is real and documented by the Census Bureau, BEA, USTR, and independent analysts. But the claim is only partly true because most of that reduction came from trade diversion, not genuine deficit elimination: imports shifted to Vietnam, Taiwan, Mexico, and other countries, and the overall U.S. goods trade deficit…

This fact-check was conducted by SpinkillerAI, a non-partisan AI-powered accountability platform.

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